Padding Your Bankroll on Friday November 21

National racebook horse racing handicapper Michael Dempsey will attempt to pad his bankroll and yours with his daily column. He will feature at least one Pick 3 or Pick 4 play from a major track along with coverage of major stakes races, longshots, and he will keep you up to date on what is happening on the circuits he covers.

What is the Big A without a little snow?

We might see s few snow flurries this afternoon in New York, but that should not slow us down much as we attempt to pad our bankroll.

However, we should keep an eye on the weather as there are three races scheduled for the turf today.

I am assuming we are not going to see enough snow to force those races to the main track.

Today’s play of the day is a cheap claimer, and we are going against the short priced entry for the top spot. The Late Pick 3 play has a couple of longshots in the sequence, and could end our day on a positive note.

Today's Play of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 2 Md $25,000 (12:56 et)

#7 Private Citizen 7/2

#6 Quietly Bold 3/1

#1 Head Shot / #1a Truly Divine 8/5

#3 Stormy Stella 6/1

Analysis: #7 Private Citizen was not a threat in her debut, checking in ninth going six furlongs on turf. Former Pletcher assistant Benzel has not had his firsters fully cranked and they tend to show improvement second time out. The filly drops from $75K to $25K and tries the main track here. The filly is by Proud Citizen out of a Sky Classic mare that has dropped four other foals to race, three winners including stakes winner Wait It Out ($219K). I'm expecting to see this gal move forward facing easier company with the surface switch.

#6 Quietly Bold drops out of a maiden special weight race on the turf at the Spa where she was a well beaten seventh. She took some play in the race, sent off at 5/2 in a field of eight. She is by a win early barn in Hushion and the easier company here should put her in the mix. She is by El Prado out of the stakes winner India Divina ($312K), who has dropped three other foals to race, a pair of winners, top earner Everydayissaturday ($132K).

Wagering

WIN: #7 to win at 5/2 or better.

EX: 6,7 / 1,3,6,7

TRI: 6,7 / 1,3,6,7 / 1,3,5,6,7

Today’s Pick 3 Play from Aqueduct:

Starting in Race 7: $1: 1,6 / 1,2,7 / 7,8,9,10 = $24

AQU Race 7 OClm $50,000N2X (3:16 et)

#6 According to Plan, #1 Shake the Moon

#6 According to Plan stretches back out to a route off a sharp win last out against Alw-1 company. That effort was flattered when the runner up, third, and sixth place finishers all came back to win next out. She is making just her fourth starts this year and eighth in her career and still appears to have some upside. She has enough pedigree to handle the stretch out and is in good hands with the Tagg barn that is 17% winners moving runners from sprint to route.

#1 Shake the Moon was not a threat in her U.S. debut but was facing much tougher, a sixth place finish in the G3 Long Island 'Cap. She earned the top last out speed fig in the effort and now adds lasix to the mix here along with the class drop. She fits well in this spot although the price may end up on the light side.