in Triple Crown Betting Trends
It’s crazy how things work in Belmont Park.
Even though the Dutrow/Prado horse isn’t my pick of the day, she certainly rates a very long look in this race.
Let’s get to it!
Belmont Park Race 8
$55,000 n1x Allowance
6 furlongs on the dirt
Loving Vindication - - 4/1 morning line
This daughter of Vindication broke her maiden in her second lifetime start. Then, in her last race, she caught a muddy field at Churchill Downs and ended up finishing off the board. That doesn’t bother me all that much. Loving Vindication is trained by Bobby Frankel and with the speed to her inside, I expect her to get a terrific trip right behind the Todd Pletcher, and morning line favorite, trained Tale of the West. Big Brown’s jockey, Kent Desormeaux, gets the call on her. She will make her presence felt in this race.
Tale of the West - - 2/1 morning line
This Todd Pletcher trained miss absolutely dominated a maiden special weight field in her first lifetime start. She definitely has the ability to go gate to wire in this one, but being inside of Loving Vindication will do her no favors as Desormeaux can get Loving Vindication to relax right off of Tale of the West while Tale of the West pretty much has to gun it from the outset. Still, that maiden victory at the Kenneland meet was awfully impressive.
City Bird - - 2/1 morning line
Comes off a freshening for Dutrow and Prado and has every right to beat this field, but I’m not sold. She ran terribly in her last race, before the freshening, and I do think that she might need one. If she does win, watch the picture taking to see if Dutrow and Prado do an Ari Gold man-hug. Especially after Prado took the mount on Casino Drive!
Wagering Strategy
Because Loving Vindication ran so terribly in her last start, I have to believe that she will keep her odds. That’s a good thing because both Tale of the West and City Bird could be going off at close to 7 to 5 or 8 to 5. In either case, I am going to bet Loving Vindication over Tale of the West and City Bird in an exacta and trifecta. I’m also going to bet Loving Vindication to win and place.
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